A Computationally Efficient Method for Estimating Multi‐Model Process Sensitivity Index

نویسندگان

چکیده

Identification of important processes a hydrologic system is critical for improving process-based modeling. To identify while jointly considering parametric and model uncertainty, Dai et al. (2017), https://doi.org/10.1002/2016WR019715, developed multi-model process sensitivity index. Numerical evaluation the index using brute force Monte Carlo (MC) simulation computationally expensive, because it requires nested structure parameter sampling number simulations on order (N being samples). reduce computational cost, we develop new method (here denoted as quasi-MC brevity) that uses triple sets samples (generated sequence) to remove in theoretically rigorous way. The reduces from 2N. performance assessed against MC approach recent binning by through two synthetic cases groundwater flow solute transport Due its theoretical foundation, overcomes limitations imposed inherently empirical nature method. We find outperforms both terms requirements aspects, thus strengthening potential assessment indices subject various sources uncertainty.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

A Computationally Efficient Method for Estimating Semi Parametric Regression Functions

Bias reduction is an important condition for effective feature extraction. Utilizing recent theoretical results in high dimensional statistical modeling, we propose a model-free yet computationally simple approach to estimate the partially linear model Y = Xβ+g(Z)+ε. Based on partitioning the support of Z, a simple local average is used to approximate the response surface g(Z). The model can be...

متن کامل

Computationally Efficient Gaussian Process

Most existing GP regression algorithms assume a single generative model, leading to poor performance when data are nonstationary, i.e. generated from multiple switching processes. Existing methods for GP regression over non-stationary data include clustering and changepoint detection algorithms. However, these methods require significant computation, do not come with provable guarantees on corr...

متن کامل

Making Sensitivity Analysis Computationally Efficient

To investigate the robustness of the output probabilities of a Bayesian network, a sensi­ tivity analysis can be performed. A one-way sensitivity analysis establishes, for each of the probability parameters of a network, a func­ tion expressing a posterior marginal proba­ bility of interest in terms of the parameter. Current methods for computing the coeffi­ cients in such a function rely on a ...

متن کامل

A computationally efficient method for delineating irregularly shaped spatial clusters

In this paper, we present an efficiency improvement for the algorithm called AMOEBA, A Multidirectional Optimum Ecotope-Based Algorithm, devised by Aldstadt and Getis (Geogr Anal 38(4):327–343, 2006). AMOEBA embeds a local spatial autocorrelation statistic in an iterative procedure in order to identify spatial clusters (ecotopes) of related spatial units. We provide an analysis of the computati...

متن کامل

A computationally efficient method for nonlinear multicommodity network flow problems

In this paper, we present a new method for solving nonlinear multicommodity network flow problems with convex objective functions. This method combines a well-known projected Jacobi method and a new dual projected pseudo-quasi-Newton (DPPQN) method which solves multicommodity flow quadratic subproblems induced in the projected Jacobi method. The DPPQN method is a dual Newtontype method that dif...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Water Resources Research

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['0043-1397', '1944-7973']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022wr033263